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MP's Fury Over Delay To HBOS Crisis Report

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 17 Januari 2015 | 14.47

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

A member of the influential Treasury Select Committee criticised City regulators on Friday amid signs of a further delay to the completion of an inquiry into the near-collapse of HBOS in 2008.

Speaking to Sky News, Mark Garnier MP said the further delay, which is likely to mean publication of the report will not take place until at least the summer of this year, undermined the principle of the inquiry.

The Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) and Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) said last July that they aimed to publish their final report by the end of 2014, more than two years after work on it got underway.

Sky News revealed in December that the watchdogs would fail to hit that deadline because of the lengthy process which allows those criticised in official reports to lodge objections.

The regulators' report was initiated after concerted pressure from the Treasury Committee, which will be determined to scrutinise the findings and recommendations of the final document.

However, one parliamentary source said on Friday that there was now "little or zero chance" of the report being finalised before March 30, when the select committee system will be dissolved ahead of May's General Election.

Select committees can take up to three months to be re-formed after an election, meaning that a reconstituted Treasury committee may not be operating before mid-August.

"The whole point of these inquiries is to learn the lessons of the past," Mr Garnier said.

"If the regulators take so long that it is nine months behind its own deadline, you end up not learning those lessons in a timely fashion."

It is now more than six years since HBOS had to be rescued by a £20bn capital injection from taxpayers into Lloyds Banking Group, which took over the mortgage lending giant.

To date, only one former HBOS executive, Peter Cummings, has faced regulatory censure.

In 2012, he was fined £500,000 and banned for life from working again in financial services after being accused of failing to "exercise due skill, care and diligence".

The HBOS report's preparation has already been snared by repeated controversy, initially when the then Financial Services Authority said it had no intention of publishing such a review.

A process known as Maxwellisation, which allows people criticised in official reports to challenge regulators' comments, was launched last summer but is proving painstakingly slow, according to insiders.

Officials said last summer that because the report would rely on confidential information "previously provided by HBOS and other relevant parties, their consent will also be legally required before publication of this information."

Among the individuals expected to face criticism in the report are James Crosby, the bank's chief executive during a rapid period of expansion, and Andy Hornby, who ran the company immediately preceding its bail-out.

A separate review handled by Andrew Green, a leading QC, will examine whether regulators has reached an appropriate judgement in relation to enforcement actions against individuals.

It will "offer an opinion...as to whether the regulators should consider afresh whether any other former members of HBOS's senior management should be subject to an investigation with a view to prohibition proceedings," regulators said during the summer.

Andrew Tyrie, the Conservative MP who chairs the Treasury Select Committee, declined to comment on the latest delay.

He is expected to stand for a further term as the Committee's chairman if he is re-elected as an MP in May.

The PRA declined to comment.


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Final Whistle For West Ham Shirt Sponsor

Foreign exchange broker Alpari UK has entered insolvency following market turmoil over Switzerland's shock decision to unpeg its currency from the euro.

Within minutes of the early morning announcement on Thursday, the currency spiked around a third against the single European currency and the dollar while Swiss shares tanked more than 8%, prompting confusion and anger across trading room floors.

The move was seen as a bid by Switzerland's central bank to prepare the ground for quantitative easing in the eurozone - expected to be announced next week in an attempt to halt a slide towards deflation and boost economic activity.

Alpari is understood to have more than 200,000 clients and it said the majority had sustained losses.

It was not the only brokerage to take a massive financial hit in the wake of the turmoil with another firm in New Zealand also going out of business.

At the time of the market meltdown, Alpari's chief market strategist had declared the Swiss action "completely irresponsible" given recent support for the peg by the central bank.

Alpari said today: "The recent move on the Swiss franc caused by the Swiss National Bank's unexpected policy reversal of capping the Swiss franc against the euro has resulted in exceptional volatility and extreme lack of liquidity.

"This has resulted in the majority of clients sustaining losses which has exceeded their account equity.

"Where a client cannot cover this loss, it is passed on to us. This has forced Alpari (UK) Limited to confirm today, 16/01/15, that it has entered into insolvency.

"Retail client funds continue to be segregated in accordance with FCA rules."

The currency peg, which was introduced in September 2011, was an attempt to halt the rise of the franc against the euro at a time when the eurozone debt crisis was at its height.

The strong franc was then particularly problematic for Swiss exporters, who were forced to drastically cut prices to remain competitive.

In an effort to contain the franc's future appreciation and limit any damage to the Swiss economy, the central bank also lowered a key interest rate to -0.75 to dissuade banks from parking their cash at the national bank, opting instead to invest in the Swiss economy.

West Ham, which signed its shirt sponsorship deal with Alpari UK two years ago, refused to comment on the company's financial woes.


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Npower Fuels Debate Over Energy Price Cuts

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

Npower, one of the UK's biggest energy suppliers, has stoked the political row over utility pricing, blaming the Government for favouring smaller peers and "political factors" for influencing commercial decision-making.

In a letter to Matthew Hancock, the Energy Minister, Npower's chief executive said the scope for reflecting recent falls in wholesale gas and oil prices in consumers' bills was limited by politicians' intervention in the market.

"Political factors have...become increasingly significant over the last few years, particularly as we approach the UK general election," Paul Massara wrote in the letter, a copy of which has been passed to Sky News.

"Any change in prices in the short term will inevitably have to take account [of] potential outcomes after May this year."

Although he did not refer to it explicitly, Whitehall sources said Mr Massara was drawing attention to the Labour leader Ed Miliband's plan for a 20-month price freeze if his party wins the election.

Mr Hancock had written to the six largest gas and electricity suppliers to demand that they pass on recent wholesale price falls to consumers.

He is due to meet them separately in the next few weeks for further talks.

Earlier this week, Eon - which, like Npower, is German-owned - announced that it was shaving 3.5% off the cost of its standard gas tariff, equivalent to £24 off a typical household's annual bill.

Other energy companies have signalled privately, however, that the threat of a price freeze has made it commercially risky to cut prices ahead of the election.

On Wednesday, Labour was defeated in a House of Commons vote to secure support for powers for the regulator, Ofgem, to be able to force companies to reduce consumer bills in line with wholesale price movements.

Labour was forced to adapt the language of its energy policy, insisting that the freeze was actually intended to be a cap, although it continues to use the original language in online material promoting one of its flagship policies.

Mr Massara's letter rejected a comparison drawn by Mr Hancock between the approach to price reductions of the 'Big Six' and smaller suppliers.

"The proportion of customers on fixed-price contracts is much higher for smaller independent suppliers than it is for large suppliers.

"This allows them to claim that they are reducing prices when in fact they are simply offering a new lower price fixed-price contract for new customers, in the same way we do, which may in part explain your perception that they may have moved earlier."

Mr Massara added that "actions by both Government and the regulator means that small supplier have significant benefits in terms of exemptions from licence conditions and also in terms of passing through the cost of social and environmental levies."

The Npower chief executive also pointed to the impact on global energy markets of unrest in the Middle East and the conflict in Ukraine during the last year.

And he reiterated the argument of energy bosses that a substantial proportion of customers' bills related to network charges and the widespread introduction of smart meters, the costs of which analysts expect to increase this year.

"In the case of our domestic standard tariff, we buy forward in the market to protect our customers from volatile swings in wholesale energy costs, both up and down," he wrote.

Mr Massara also said that "the recent fall in wholesale price is being actively looked at...and we...take into account competitive pressure".

He added that the company would write to standard tariff customers in the next fortnight to outline alternative pricing plans.

Npower refused to comment on the letter.


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Euro QE Stimulus Plans Clear Legal Hurdle

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 15 Januari 2015 | 14.47

The publication of a legal opinion by the European Court of Justice has seemingly removed a hurdle from efforts to stimulate the struggling eurozone economies.

An advisor to the court found that a hugely controversial bond-buying programme blueprint, readied by the European Central Bank (ECB), was legal.

The Advocate General's opinion, which is usually rubber-stamped later by judges, was released just days before the ECB is tipped to launch its first such operation in the form of quantitative easing (QE).

The stimulus model is expected to be similar to the one designed for use at the height of the eurozone crisis.

That programme was found to be "in principle" in accordance with European treaties.

The legal challenge was launched by German politicians and academics who claimed the ECB would be over-stepping its powers, as it is forbidden to fund governments.

However, the opinion did raise the prospect of the ECB having to withdraw from euro nation bailouts, as it suggested that the central bank would have to remove itself from any direct aid programme to a member state if QE was to benefit that nation.

The ECB is currently a member of the so-called 'troika' of inspectors that supervises Greece and Cyprus with an emergency aid programme.

The timing, scale and operation of the ECB's looming QE programme has remained unclear though ECB president Mario Draghi is under pressure to make good a promise to do "whatever it takes' to save the euro."

He raised the stakes on Wednesday, telling the German weekly newspaper Die Zeit that the bank had few other options at its disposal to counter the risk of deflation.

He said: "All members of the ECB's governing council are determined to fulfil our mandate."

The remarks were seen as rubber-stamping speculation that QE will be announced in eight days time.

Germany has consistently opposed any form of QE.

Europe's largest economy fears footing a hefty bill as it would flood euro area governments with cheap finance, allowing them to avoid economic reform.

One other thorn in Mr Draghi's plans is uncertainty over Greece, which could exit the single currency following the country's snap election on 25 January.

Polls suggest the poll could sweep an anti-austerity party to power, thus placing the country's rescue package in jeopardy.


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Global Economy 'Running On One Engine'

There have been sharp share falls in London after the World Bank cut its growth forecast for 2015 and next year, declaring the world's economy was "running on a single engine."

Its twice-yearly Global Economic Prospects report said that weakness in the eurozone, Japan and in some major emerging economies offset the benefit of lower oil prices.

The global development lender predicted the global economy would grow 3% this year - falling from its previous forecast of 3.4% in June last year.

GDP growth would achieve 3.3% in 2016, it predicted.

The report's findings contributed to a sell-off of mining and energy stocks on the commodity-heavy FTSE 100 share index during trading on Wednesday - leaving it 2.4% down at 6388 at the close.

Falling copper prices and data showing weaker-than-expected US retail sales in December also helped extend the losses.

World Bank chief economist Kaushik Basu said: "The global economy is at a disconcerting juncture.

"The global economy is running on a single engine, ... the American one. "This does not make for a rosy outlook for the world."

The body said strong growth prospects in the United States and Britain separated them from other rich nations.

It warned on the potential impact of deflation in the countries using the euro and in Japan and said that among emerging market economies Brazil and Russia in particular weighed on its predictions.

Russia, which is heavily dependent on oil revenues, is suffering amid a 60% plunge in world oil prices - coupled with sanctions imposed by the West over its actions in Ukraine.

The resulting weakness of the rouble has stoked inflation leaving the country facing the prospect of recession.

Growth has slowed in China but it is more a managed slowdown as it transitions away from an investment-led growth model.

The report said that while lower oil prices should be a net positive for the world economy, it would increase short-term market volatility and reduce investments in unconventional oil such as shale and deep sea oil.


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Firms 'Named And Shamed' On Minimum Wage

The Government has "named and shamed" 37 employers, including high street fashion brand H&M and Welcome Break, accusing them of failing to pay the national minimum wage.

It claimed the companies collectively owed £177,000 to their workers in arrears and they faced financial penalties of more than £51,000.

The Department for Business said each company was thoroughly investigated by HM Revenue and Customs after workers made complaints to the free and confidential Pay and Work Rights Helpline.

Business Minister Jo Swinson said: "Paying less than the minimum wage is illegal, immoral and completely unacceptable.

"If employers break this law they need to know that we will take tough action by naming, shaming and fining them as well as helping workers recover the hundreds of thousands of pounds in pay owed to them.

"We are also looking at what more we can do to make sure workers are paid fairly in the first place. As well as being publicly named and shamed, employers that fail to pay their workers the national minimum wage face penalties of up to £20,000.

"We are legislating through the Small Business, Enterprise and Employment Bill so that this penalty can be applied to each underpaid worker rather than per employer."

Almost 100 employers have now been publicly named by the Government since a new regime came into force in October 2013.

Unions have been pressing for larger fines against firms found to be paying less than the statutory rate of £6.50 an hour for adults, £5.13 for 18 to 20-year-olds, £3.79 for 16 and 17-year-olds and £2.73 for apprentices.

Sky News was attempting to contact firms identified by the Government for their response.


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Why Record Inflation Fall Is Not All Good News

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 14 Januari 2015 | 14.47

How low is too low? That's the question economists are asking today after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate dropped from 1% to 0.5%.

It's the lowest official inflation number for a decade-and-a-half, and the first time it has halved in the space of a month.

Moreover, with oil prices continuing to fall – now below $50 a barrel on the Brent crude international measure – the likelihood is that the CPI will only continue to fall.

At the very least it will drop to the lowest level since comparable records began in 1989. It may even drop into negative territory.

Should consumers be concerned? No. In the short term, this fall is good news – the equivalent of a tax cut for most consumers.

In fact, according to calculations by Capital Economics, the fall in petrol prices alone should put £455 back into the average household's pockets.

The fact that lower energy prices also push down a host of other costs should continue the 'tax cut' in coming months.

Moreover, with inflation at 0.5% it is now comfortably below the rate at which wages are increasing (1.6%, excluding bonuses) – so the longest squeeze on living standards since Victorian times is now at an end.

Finally, because inflation is well below the Bank of England's 2% target, it is even less likely to raise interest rates in the near future.

Market expectations for the date of a rate increase have now shifted from this summer to next spring. And the expected level in five years is now 1.4%, compared with 2% expected a couple of months ago.

That means more impetus for consumer spending in the coming months and, perhaps, an even stronger recovery later this year (though the near-term turbulence in Russia and elsewhere caused by falling oil prices might weigh on growth in the immediate future).

However, it's not all good news. There is good deflation and bad deflation. Good deflation, of the kind depicted above, is a temporary cut in prices – a temporary boost to consumers' real incomes.

No one changes their behaviour or spends less as a result – quite the contrary. Bad deflation is the kind witnessed in the US in the 1930s when prices fell for a prolonged period of time along with wages.

Because this deflation lasts longer, and is associated with weaker growth, it is trickier to shake off.

There are serious concerns this kind of deflation is taking hold in Europe – quite apart from recent oil-led falls. Indeed, in certain countries, such as Greece, this 1930s-style deflation is already quite evident.

Prices are now falling across the Eurozone, and if economists' forecasts are to be believed, they could stay low for some time.

That's why the European Central Bank looks likely to engage in full-blown quantitative easing either this month or soon afterwards.

The only question is quite how it has managed to structure the programme so it doesn't fall foul of the inflation hawks at the Bundesbank.


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Osborne: No Need To Fear Low Inflation Rate

Britain should celebrate the low inflation rate and not be frightened by it, Chancellor George Osborne is to insist.

He will say the slump in the headline rate to just 0.5% is due to external factors - and the benefits for consumers should be welcomed.

The comments, in a speech to the Royal Economic Society on Wednesday, come as Mr Osborne and Bank of England governor Mark Carney seek to calm nerves over the issue.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) hit its joint lowest level in December, thanks mainly to cheaper food and petrol.

Economists said the continued plunge in the oil price meant it was likely to fall further and a brief period of negative inflation was "not entirely out of the question".

Mr Carney - who is due before the Treasury Select Committee later - has conceded deflation is now "possible", but insists Britain has the tools to deal with it.

Mr Osborne is expected to say: "The low inflation we see here in the UK is much more welcome than in the eurozone where inflation has been very low for some time and is now negative.

"There the debate has understandably turned to the dangers of deflation - the risk of a self-reinforcing spiral where economic activity falters, consumers defer purchases as prices fall and nominal debt burdens become ever harder to manage."

Mr Osborne will suggest the European Central Bank's inflation target could be changed so it is obliged to take action when inflation is below 2% - as well as above it.

"In the UK our system is well equipped to deal with negative inflation shocks just as it dealt with the surge in commodity prices in 2010 and 2011," he will say.

He will add: "Of course we will always remain vigilant to ensure that inflation is low for the right reasons.

"But we should not confuse this welcome news for Britain's households as a result of falling oil prices with the threat of damaging deflation that we see in the eurozone.

"Rising real incomes, a recovery spreading to all parts of our economy, and family budgets that can stretch that little bit further - let's celebrate these effects of low inflation, not fear them."


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Inflation At Joint Lowest Level On Record

The annual rate of inflation has hit a 15-year low as oil costs continue to fall and supermarkets engage in a price war.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) measured consumer price inflation (CPI) at 0.5% in December - its joint lowest level on record - slowing from a rate of 1% in the previous month.

The figure represents a further easing in the cost of living as wage growth is boosting consumer spending power and easily outpacing rises in costs.

The ONS said falling petrol prices and lower gas and electricity bills compared with a year earlier were the biggest factors pushing inflation down last month.

The cost of Brent crude is currently at six-year lows - trading on Tuesday at $45-per-barrel.

It represents a fall of more than half since last summer on a supply glut and fears for world economic health.

Flat household gas and electricity tariffs over the month - compared to a period last year when they were raised sharply - also made a major contribution to the drop in CPI.

Food and non-alcoholic beverages were 1.7% cheaper in December than the same month a year ago - driven by the intense price war between the major supermarkets under pressure from discounters Aldi and Lidl.

Core vegetable costs were over 7% lower.

Motor fuels fell 10.5% year on year with the price of a litre of petrol tumbling 13.6p between December 2013 and last month, with diesel 15p lower.

The plunge in CPI to below 1% triggers a letter of explanation from Bank of England governor Mark Carney to George Osborne because it is more than 1% off the Bank's 2% inflation target.

But the Chancellor is unlikely to be worried that, ahead of May's election, prices are falling following a tough six years for voters in the wake of the financial crisis.

Price growth could ease further this month as energy firms begin to cut standard tariffs - with no sign of a rebound in oil and gas costs.

The Bank had previously said it expected CPI to fall below 1% and remain there for months to come.

But the sharpness of the decline brings the UK uncomfortably close to the scenario in the eurozone, where there are fears of a damaging deflationary spiral after inflation fell to -0.2%.

Deflation, which dogged Japan for more than 25 years, is seen as dangerous economically because consumers and businesses hold off on purchases on hopes goods and services will be cheaper in future.

Mr Osborne said: "Inflation is at its lowest level in modern times.

"We have family budgets going further and the economic recovery starting to be widely felt.

"We will always remain vigilant that we have lower inflation for the right reasons and today is yet further proof our long term plan is working."

Shadow Treasury minister Shabana Mahmood said: "Plummeting global oil prices are the reason why the rate of inflation is falling here in Britain.

"But wages continue to be sluggish and the squeeze on living standards since 2010 means working people are £1,600 a year worse off under this government."


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Petrol At £1 A Litre But Not At Supermarkets

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 13 Januari 2015 | 14.47

The owner of three petrol stations in the West Midlands has cut the price of unleaded petrol below £1 a litre, as supermarkets announce further reductions.

The decision to sell petrol at 99.7p by Harvest Energy garages in Birmingham, Redditch and Walsall sees sub-£1 pump prices in the UK for the first time in more than five years.

Dr Velautham Sarveswaran, who runs the stations, claims he will still make money from the move.

"The supermarkets continue to make a fortune without passing the price cuts to their customers. It is a scandal. They are cheating people," he told MailOnline.

Unleaded petrol costs hit a five-year low last week of 109.8p - with figures provided by Experian Catalist showing that average costs on Sunday had reduced further to 108.9p.

Diesel stood just below 115p a litre.

Analysis showed that with an unleaded price of 99.7p, 57.95p of that figure would go to the Treasury in fuel duty and a further 18.3p would be paid in VAT, with the driver paying just over 20p for the product itself.

Lower petrol prices are a consequence of the plunge in oil costs - with Brent crude losing more than 50% of its value since June last year on a supply glut and fears for the strength of the world economy.

Brent was down at fresh six-year lows of $48.8 a barrel in Monday trading.

Supermarkets confirmed further reductions to their prices - with Tesco taking 2p off their petrol and diesel costs from Monday afternoon.

Asda, Morrisons and Sainsbury's confirmed similar moves from Tuesday.

For Asda customers, the latest reduction means they will pay no more than 103.7p a litre for petrol, with diesel at 110.7p.

While motoring groups welcomed the Harvest price, the AA said it "appears to be a publicity stunt rather than a reflection of general pump prices."

Its president Edmund King added: "There remains a postcode lottery out there when it comes to fuel prices.

"Drivers in rural areas are still paying much more than the 109p average price ... It will still take some time to get down to an average of £1 per litre."


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Sellafield Clean-Up Contract To Be Torn Up

A consortium is set to be stripped of its contract to clean up western Europe's largest nuclear waste site at Sellafield following criticism of its performance.

Nuclear Management Partners (NMP), made up of US engineering group URS, British firm AMEC and French energy firm AREVA, was awarded an extension to its deal in 2013 despite accusations of delays and cost over-runs.

The Government was today expected to confirm that NMP, which employs 10,000 workers, was to have its contract terminated and the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA) would assume responsibility for the work.

The cost of making the site, on the Cumbrian coast, safe has been put at almost £80bn over 120 years.

Sellafield was used in the 1950s to make plutonium for nuclear weapons before the country's first nuclear power station was built there.

NMP was handed a 17-year contract worth £9bn in 2008.

An Energy Department spokesman said: "Ed Davey (the energy secretary) has been very clear that he's wanted to see more effective progress in decommissioning the biggest and most complex nuclear site in Europe, providing the best outcome for the taxpayer.

"The NDA and Government have been working with industry experts on alternative options."

NMP general managerIain Irving said: "We understand that the NDA has been considering whether there are alternative options to the current arrangements for managing Sellafield.

"It is not possible for us to make any further comment at this time.

"Notably, however, since the NDA awarded NMP with a five-year contract extension, the site has enjoyed one of its best ever periods of performance and progress.

"Importantly, over the last two years, we have consecutively achieved the site's best overall safety records."

But Gary Smith, national officer of the GMB union, said: "The termination of the NMP contract is welcome. We could not limp on any further.

"We said the contract should not have been extended in 2013. We understand the Tories overruled the NDA. The Government needs to be held to account.

"Hundreds of millions of pounds of taxpayers' money have been squandered as NMP has simply failed to deliver time and time again. They have been big on promises but not on delivery."


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Morrisons Boss Quits After Festive Sales Fall

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

The chief executive of Wm Morrison is to step down after a slump in Christmas sales led the grocer's board to conclude that a leader was required to transform its fortunes.

Confirming an exclusive report on Sky News, Morrisons said that Dalton Philips would leave the company following its full-year results, with a search underway for his successor.

News of the change came as Morrisons reported Christmas trading figures which underlined its status as the also-ran among the big UK supermarket chains, with a like-for-like sales fall for the six weeks to January 4 of 5.2% including fuel.

Mr Philips said he would be leaving "a great company", adding that during his five-year tenure "many improvements [have been made] to the business and given Morrisons strong foundations for the future".

Morrisons also confirmed that Andrew Higginson, a former Tesco executive, would take over as its chairman from Sir Ian Gibson in January.

Mr Higginson said: "In the next chapter of Morrisons development, we need to return the business to growth. The board believes this is best done under new leadership. I would like to thank Dalton for his contribution as CEO. 

"He has brought great personal qualities and values to his leadership of the business, having had to manage against a background of considerable industry turmoil and change."

Mr Philips deserved "particular credit for facing into and dealing with the pricing issues that have now become evident, for taking the business into the convenience and online channels, and for the steps he has taken to modernise the Company's operating systems," Mr Higginson added.

Morrisons' like-for-like trading performance was worse than the City had forecast, and placed the company firmly in the foothills of the battle for growth, with J Sainsbury and Tesco both reporting superior figures last week.

Mr Philips, a former executive at Loblaw, Canada's biggest food retailer, became Morrisons' boss in March 2010, and also sits on the board of the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills.

During his tenure, Morrisons has struggled to modernise its business in the face of tough competition from supermarket discounters and established rivals.

Last autumn, Morrisons announced thousands of job cuts and the introduction of a new loyalty scheme in a bid to stem the decline in sales.

When asked about Mr Philips' departure on Monday night, Morrisons said it did not comment on management changes.


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